With every team having now played 22 matches, the Supercomputer has updated its prediction for the final 2025/26 Premier League table. Last term, everyone had expected Manchester City to rule the roost again, but it was Liverpool – under new manager Arne Slot – who would end up winning their 20th English league crown at a canter, reclaiming their perch as the country’s most successful club.

There were no bonus points handed to those who guessed that Arsenal would finish second – having now achieved that feat three successive seasons on the spin now – while Pep Guardiola's side's end-of-season form saw them just about claim third. Other narratives drawn up were that of Nottingham Forest's surprise run to European qualification, while Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United slipped to their worst-ever league campaigns since the 1992 rebranding.

All of the above is still fresh in the memory, but football never sleeps. The forecasts below are compiled by a Supercomputer, with the help of Opta, which has simulated the league season based on the released fixture list and what we learned from the opening 22 rounds of matches. Without further ado, let's take a look at the predicted winners and losers of the 2025/26 Premier League season.

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Relegation Zone

A worrying trend at the foot of the table is tipped to finally come to an end this season. In both 2023/24 and 2024/25, all three promoted sides went straight back down. But if the Supercomputer’s latest projections are correct, both Sunderland and Leeds will survive this time around. This does still mean, however, that Burnley are tipped to have their gloom turn into inevitable doom under Scott Parker. The newly-promoted side have been predicted to finish 19th with just 29 points.

West Ham United are projected to continue to suffer after Graham Potter's sacking and Nuno Espirito Santo's arrival. Despite the change in the dugout, there are still worrying signs at the London Stadium, which has led to them being handed an 18th place prediction, eight points short of safety. Even their recent win against Tottenham Hotspur doesn't seem to be enough to flip their fortunes.

Opta's machine also believes Wolverhampton Wanderers – who picked up their first win of the season in their 20th attempt – will be unable to reverse early damage, as they are tipped to remain the cellar dwellers until May. There's no surprise there, but right now, supporters at Molineux will be hoping that well-to-do local manager Rob Edwards has the ability to work miracles after an encouraging 3-0 win against West Ham, as well as draws against Manchester United, Everton and Newcastle.

Leeds United could find themselves dragged into a battle for survival this term, but have been given a chance of avoiding relegation to the second tier. The Whites are predicted to finish in 16th, just above Nottingham Forest, who are already on their third different manager this term. But results aren't expected to improve that drastically under Sean Dyche, although they only have a 13% chance of relegation.

After Ange Postecoglou led Tottenham to Europa League glory in 2024/25, there was hope around the north London faithful that new manager Thomas Frank could mastermind a turnaround. But, having finished 17th last year, a dismal run of form has seen Spurs slip down the table. Things are so bad right now that they are being forecast to finish 15th — no wonder their manager is under so much pressure.

Bottom Half

After such a fast start to the season, Bournemouth now find themselves in 15th - and the supercomputer isn't predicting that to change too much, placing the Cherries in 14th spot. That said, things could turn from bad to worse after they lost star player Antoine Semenyo to Manchester City in the January transfer window.

Crystal Palace won the FA Cup – their first major honour of any kind – at the end of last season, then proved they are a force here to stay by beating Liverpool twice to kickstart another campaign of promise. They first triumphed in the Community Shield final, and then again to end Arne Slot’s 100 per cent start to the season. But that success has given way to turmoil, with captain Marc Guehi sold to Man City and Oliver Glasner announcing he will be leaving when his contract expires. Without a league win since the start of December, the Eagles desperately need a slice of good fortune.

Fulham’s projected 12th-place finish would see them finish one place lower than they achieved in the 2024/25 season. The Cottagers continue to struggle to break through the glass ceiling and fully realise their potential, unlike other clubs around them that have managed to kick on and evolve. Marco Silva's side have been impressive in recent weeks, but saw a six-game unbeaten run ended by Leeds United recently.

Despite playing their first Premier League season in eight years, Sunderland have shocked fans and pundits alike with performances so far. Handed an 11th place predicted finish, that's not a bad position given that they were playing in League One as recently as 2022. Right now, you wouldn't put it past Regis Le Bris to guide the Black Cats to a top 10 finish.

Top Half

Everton were tipped by many fans as potential dark horses for the 2025/26 campaign. With fresh American ownership, a new stadium, and exciting attacking reinforcements like Jack Grealish arriving over the summer, manager David Moyes seemed well-equipped to start building something special at Bramley-Moore Docks. The supercomputer is predicting them to finish 10th, which will be an improvement by three positions on 2024/25.

Brighton and Hove Albion have somewhat flown under the radar so far this term, as other underdogs take on the role of overachievers – a reputation they once wore with pride under Graham Potter and Roberto De Zerbi. Under the current Fabian Hurzeler regime, however, the club now seems to be moving at a steady, expected pace – a natural consequence and sign of progress for the Seagulls as they are projected to finish 9th with 54 points.

Brentford will be delighted if they can manage a top 10 finish after a summer of wholesale changes saw them lose Bryan Mbuemo to the Red Devils, Yoane Wissa to Newcastle, and perhaps most detrimentally, Thomas Frank to Tottenham. This, alongside losing key names in previous summers, set Keith Andrews up for a rescue mission like no other – but, so far, he's delivered some important results as the Bees have maintained their steady progression. Currently, the west London club are flying high in 7th, but they are predicted to finish one spot lower.

Newcastle United have flattered to deceive at points so far in 2025/26. While there have been big wins against top teams like Manchester City, there have also been some poor losses, most notably to rivals Sunderland in the Tyne-Wear derby. Blowing hot and cold is why the Magpies are forecast to finish in seventh place rather than continue to prove they can disrupt the old order.

Manchester United have blown hot and cold this season. They've picked up some impressive results, but they've also dropped points to a lot of teams they are expected to beat. Despite a clear improvement from the 2024/25 season, United's inconsistent form saw Ruben Amorim lose his job after 14 months in charge, with Darren Fletcher replacing him as interim manager. However, new boss Michael Carrick made an emphatic start to his tenure, beating rivals Man City 2-0 at Old Trafford. If he can keep the good times rolling, perhaps the Red Devils will climb higher than sixth.

Chelsea supporters made up the most optimistic fanbase in the country heading into the new campaign, according to a study. So, the Club World Cup and Europa Conference League winners finishing no higher than fifth – 24 points behind the champions – will not go down too well in west London. Losses to Leeds, Aston Villa and Fulham and draws to Bournemouth and Newcastle in recent weeks have seen their chances of qualifying for the Champions League drop to 23 per cent, and parting ways with Enzo Maresca and replacing him with the inexperienced Liam Rosenior has the potential to backfire.

Top Four

Despite their astronomical spending, which saw them break the British transfer fee record twice in one summer by bringing in both Florian Wirtz and Alexander Isak, while also welcoming Jeremie Frimpong, Milos Kerkez, Giovanni Leoni, and Hugo Ekitike to Anfield, Liverpool are expected to miss out on retaining their title by a seismic gap of 20 points, with the supercomputer predicting them a fourth-place finish on 63 points.

The beginning of the campaign brought about Arne Slot's men with numerous last-minute winners. However, with sides realising they struggle against long balls, Liverpool embarked on a dismal run of form. The mood appeared low, as evidenced by Mohamed Salah's recent outburst, but they are currently on a 10-match unbeaten run as they look to make things right.

After waving goodbye to a rocky start to the campaign, Aston Villa are projected to finish third under Unai Emery. Having failed to score in their opening four games, the Villans have since become one of the most in-form teams in the league, beating the likes of Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United to fly up the table. Although dropped points against Crystal Palace and Everton have seen them stumble, they are still tipped to post an impressive 71 points.

Meanwhile, Manchester City, who are currently going through a small transition period, are tipped to finish second in the league. Although their form has seemingly been on a bit of a rise in recent weeks, it won't be enough to usurp Arsenal.

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Despite Manchester City's recent dominance, they still don't crack the top five in the all-time Premier League standings.

The Gunners are expected to finally end a hoodoo of over two decades, and do so with a 11 point gap over runners-up City. Patience has been a virtue in the Arteta project, and winning the title – as current projections suggest – would remove any lingering doubt about the Spaniard’s ability to get his side over the finishing line.

For some teams, all it takes is one triumph to spark a domino effect of silverware. If Arsenal, who are widely regarded as one of the biggest clubs to never win the Champions League, lift the Premier League trophy this season, it could spell bad news for the rest of the country in the years ahead.